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6/27/12

THE MIDDLE EAST: Enlightenment or Armageddon? - by RM

Probably one of the US Administration's major foreign policy changes under President Obama has been its policy vis-a-vis the Middle East. Even though the thought behind this new policy is not new and has been in the making for quite some time, it is now actively being put into practice. Overall, based on results, the new doctrine is still considered quite ambiguous in its application and maybe for the moment at least it should be called a “work in progress”.

Among some of the new policies featured in this policy is that it aims to show the US supports the so-called Middle East Democracy Movement, which intends to overthrow military and theocratic dictatorships in the Middle East, and replace them with democratic and freely elected governments.

On the other hand the US has also been quite adamant as to which countries they consider "untouchables" within this new Middle East policy. These are Saudi Arabia and a few other Arabian Gulf oil producing states. Apart from being major oil suppliers to the US and European petroleum industry they are also major buyers of US and European arms. On December 29 last year, the White House announced that it was sending nearly $30 billion worth of F-15 fighter jets to Saudi Arabia, as part of a $60 billion package—the largest arms deal in US history. Towards the beginning of 2007 Saudi Arabia also bought 72 Eurofighters for some euro 7.5 billion from BEA systems, a European military aircraft consortium.

Moderate Islam – the Gülen movement

Another part of the “revised” US Middle East policy has been the support for what some US policymakers describe as, “moderate Islamic” governments. These are Islamic oriented Governments which have been democratically elected by a majority of the population, but who are in general friendly in relation to the US and their allies foreign policies.

Closely associated with this “new” policy and actively involved in the creation of a palatable “Islam Lite” has been Turkey's Gülen movement, which promotes service for the common good, and which today probably has grown into the world's largest Muslim network. From Kazakhstan to Brazil and Indonesia, this new Islamic network is attracting millions of followers - and billions of dollars.

The Gülen movement was created and inspired by Fethullah Gülen, a previously little-known Turkish Iman, who today is not only very well known in Muslim circles around the world, but also considered quite controversial by his critics. Mr. Gülen presently lives under the protection of the US on a country estate in Pennsylvania. Today the Gülen movement is linked to more than 1,000 schools in 130 countries as well as think-tanks, newspapers, TV and radio stations, universities - and even a bank. This massive network is unlike anything else. It has no formal structure, no visible organization and no official membership.

In his writings and oral addresses, Gülen prefers the term hoshgoru (literally means, “good view”) as opposed to “tolerance.” Conceptually, the former term indicates actions of the heart and the mind that include empathy, inquisitiveness, reflection, consideration of the dialog partner’s culture, and respect for their positions. The term “tolerance” which is often applied in Europe and specially in the Netherlands does not capture the notion of “hoshgoru” according to the Gülen movement. Elsewhere, Gülen finds even the concept of hoshgoru insufficient, and employs terms with more depth in interfaith relations, such as respect and an appreciation of the positions of dialog partners of another faith.

The resources Gülen references in the context of dialog and empathic acceptance include the Qur’an, the prophetic tradition, especially lives of the companions of the Prophet, the works of great Muslim scholars and Sufi masters, and finally, the history of Islamic civilization. Among his Qur’anic references, Gülen alludes to verses that tell the believers to represent humility, peace and security, trustworthiness, compassion, and forgiveness (The Qur’an, 25:63, 25:72, 28:55, 45:14, 17:84), to avoid armed conflicts and prefer peace (4:128), to maintain cordial relationships with the “people of the book,” and to avoid argumentation (29:46). But perhaps the most important references of Gülen with respect to interfaith relations are his readings of those verses that allow Muslims to fight others. Gülen positions these verses in historical context to point out one by one that their applicability is conditioned upon active hostility. In other words, in Gülen’s view, nowhere in the Qur’an does God allow fighting based on differences of faith.

Turkey

Present day Turkey is the major link for this new US “Islam Lite” Gülen political strategy. Other countries successful electoral platforms based on the“Islam Lite” theory were advanced by “Ennahda" in Tunisia and the "Parti de la Justice et du Développement" (PJD) in Morocco. Both represent manifestations of this moderate Muslim trend, inaugurated by the AKP through Gülen in Turkey, and now even controversially followed by Hamas in Palestine. A similar form of this "Islam Lite" style of Government was also established in Libya, following the overthrow of the Gaddafi family dictatorship.

Egypt

Egypt, which has just recently chosen its first Democratically elected President will be another country to watch in this new line-up of "moderate Islamic Nations". Here the "Islamic Brotherhood" is in the drivers seat. In the past this group has made its goals, certainly not as moderate as the Gülen movement, known. Among them; to develop an Islamic state dictated by Shariah Law. Many critics, including some in the Egyptian military believe that the newly elected President will oversee a slow ebbing away of religious freedoms in Egypt, by giving more license to the Muslim Brotherhood to institute conservative Islamist policies in the country, and that this would eventually make life more restrictive and discriminatory toward the Coptic Christian minority. Reality is that the people who removed Hosni Mubarak from power can and will also do the same with their new President Morsi if he steps away from the Democratic course for which they elected him.

Israel

Looking at a new dawn of democracy in the Middle East one can not overlook Israel. Where does Israel fit into this picture ? Contrary to popular belief Israel is probably not seen by the new Middle East Democratic movement as a negative force. To the contrary, Israel is the only country in the Middle East with a true and functional Democratic parliamentary system and the Institutional structure to go with it. In this capacity it could be of great benefit as a model and partner for the new democratically elected Middle Eastern governments. Israel certainly has the capability to play a major role in a changed Middle East and Arabs and Jews should not fear to jump over their own shadows to get this cooperation started.  It would certainly give them far more flexibility if this could avoid having the US, the EU or the Russians looking over their shoulders.

Israel also occupies a historic place in the region. Its location was and still is strategically important as a doorway to the Middle East in every respect. In the past Israel was periodically invaded and occupied by the Egyptians, Persians, Greeks, and Romans. These diverse cultures helped shape the development of two major religions to come out of Israel - Judaism and Christianity and indirectly also played a major part in the creation of Islam.

Islam

When Mohammed married a widow named Khadijah, who owned several trading caravans, he often had to interact with an Arab tribe known as the Hanefites. These were Arabs who had rejected idol worship and were searching for the true "one God religion". They specifically looked to the religions of the Jews and Christians, which they considered very close to their own beliefs. To avoid persecution they often also retreated to the caves of Mecca for meditation and prayer and Mohammed given his business relation with the Hanefites frequently joined them in these prayers.

In the year 610 AD after many years of meditation together with the Hanefites Mohammed had his first super natural vision. He was in a cave on Mt. Hera and at first thought he was demon possessed. He immediately went to his wife Khadijah and told her about the event. She consulted with her uncle Waraca, a Hanefite who had converted to Christianity, and he assured them that Mohammed's vision was from God. Waraca than declared to the Arab people that Mohammed was a prophet ….and the rest is history.

Judeo-Christian

Obviously another major component of this Middle East religious mosaic are the Christians.

The Hoover Institute Press at Stanford University in the US published a short booklet by Dr. Malik that probably should be required reading for anyone concerned with the fate of ancient Christian communities throughout the Middle East, including the Holy Land, Islamism and the Future of the Christians of the Middle East that can be read in one sitting. Its brevity is an advantage: a concise mind and an accomplished pen distilling a vast amount of knowledge and experience into only 68 pages. George Weigel a Distinguished Senior Fellow of the Ethics and Public Policy Center in Washington, D.C., with even greater brevity, highlighted several of the book’s key points.

1) Middle East Christians today have had two distinct historical experiences. One is an experience of freedom. The other is an experience of being a dhimmi, a second-class citizen existing on the sufferance of the Muslim majority in an Islamic state.

2) Ninety percent of Christian Arabs live in conditions of dhimmitude today, including the Copts in Egypt, the Chaldeans and Assyrians in Iraq, and the Greek Orthodox and Melkites in Syria, Jordan, and the Palestinian Authority. These are the Christians at the greatest risk from Islamism and jihadism.

3) Christians who have been subjugated for generations have, over time, “lost all sense of what it meant to experience a life of true liberty.” Thus they have developed a variety of survival strategies which, having been thoroughly internalized, now seem natural: kowtowing to authority; accepting benefactions from dictators like Saddam Hussein in Iraq or the Assad dynasty in Syria; remaining silent in the face of atrocities committed against Christians by Islamists and other Muslims; blaming the current problems of Christians in the Middle East on that great bugbear, the State of Israel.

4) Christian communities in the Middle East are also under tremendous pressure because their numbers are shrinking while Muslim populations are growing. Emigration (to escape persecution or to seek prosperity) has played a considerable role here; so has contraception.

5) Both free Christian communities and dhimmi Christian communities suffer from a paucity of
indigenous leadership. (Dr. Malik doesn’t say it, but Weigel thinks he means both political
leadership and religious leadership.) This has created another comparative disadvantage forChristian communities in the Middle East. For their Muslim neighbors, having rejected various secular ideologies, have increasingly turned to more stringent (and thus more intolerant) forms of Islam in recent decades—and have done so at a time when few Christian leaders, clerical or lay, have been defending Christians’ rights, much less proposing Christianity as an attractive alternative to secular ideologies.

6) Western indifference to the fate of Arab and other Middle Eastern Christians has also contributed to their decline and their present peril. This blindness has also imperiled the West. Vibrant Christian communities can be a check on radical Islamism and jihadism by promoting Islamic moderation and openness. In Malik’s own words:

“Such moderation is sure to be strengthened when Muslims interact daily with confident fellow-native adherents to a creed that does not condone suicide bombers, respects women, is not out for religious domination, upholds the principle of religious pluralism, is compatible with liberal
democracy, defends personal and group rights, emphasizes the centrality of education, and is not
uncomfortable with many features of modern secular living. Whenever local Christians have felt relatively unmolested, they have acted as catalysts for positive change and as conduits for some of
the West’s finest and most enduring universal values, and this in turn has advanced Islamic tolerance and moderation.”

The defense of religious freedom for persecuted Christians in the Middle East is a moral obligation. It is also a strategic imperative. Middle East Christians who share a historical experience of freedom, or who can shake off the psychological shackles of dhimmitude, are a strategic asset, not the headache the US State Department usually imagines them to be".

It seems the world-wide Christian community which has been relatively successful in spreading the Gospel to most if not all countries around the world has stepped away from actively supporting, funding and evangelizing with and for the Christian communities in the Middle East.

With the new democratically elected Arab leaders proclaiming they want to include all their citizens in this democratization process there probably is no better time than now for the Christian community to seek involvement and to actively participate in this process.

For those who are willing to see the light and accept the truth it is clear that there has always been an historical and cultural link between Islam and Judeo-Christian values and that coming to peaceful solutions on issues of importance to both sides is far more important and productive than human conflict. Specially at this point and time in history. The link between the people of the Arab world, which includes Jews and Christians must be reestablished based on mutual respect, human rights and democracy.

Conclusion

Hypothetically speaking, looking at the saying, "if the road to hell is paved with good intentions, and all roads lead to Rome, then either Rome is hell, or hell is on the way to Rome" ...it becomes quite clear that despite all the so-called good intentions, the Middle East, based on the different political, religious and strategic positions taken internally and externally by the major world powers has become a powder keg which can ignite at any moment.

Armageddon, believe it or not, is not just a horrific biblical story, it is also a  reality which could happen in an instant when someone somewhere happens to press a button and unleash a barrage of nuclear tipped rockets on another nation.

Therefore, to avoid Armageddon in the world and to create a favorable environment for all democratic processes to take place, the world's major political and economic powers including; Brazil, China, the EU, India, Russia and the USA need to agree on taking two basic steps in relation to the Middle East, with no exceptions for any country there. One dealing with weapons and military capability/delivery and the other with oil reserves. This could probably best be done under the auspices of the United Nations. Important would be that these steps, when not adhered to, must be made enforceable by the UN through economic sanctions, or in the worst case scenario by military force.

A) Middle East a non-military zone

  1. dismantle all nuclear weapons in the region
  2. stop all enrichment of nuclear fuel which can lead to the production of atomic weapons
  3. stop all weapons sales and the local production of these weapons, including the military delivery systems of those weapons
  4. dismantle all foreign military bases
  5. cut down the military forces of every Middle Eastern country to not more than one division or less per country

B) Middle East Fair Trade Energy Supply System

  1. under the administration of OPEC develop an open oil market supply system which would operate under similar parameters as the Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme or CPRS
Unfortunately, unless a miracle happens, and mind you they happen sometimes, the likelihood that the political and economic forces presently controlling our destiny on the planet could get such a peaceful process underway is extremely remote. For courage and vision are certainly not one of their assets. Consequently the bottom-line seems to favor Armageddon before enlightenment.

Another possible scenario would be that the different players in the Middle East mentioned before in this report would start working together based on their common, not foreign interests, by taking matters directly in their own hands. It would be a  different approach from what people called the Middle East Revolution before, in the sense that it would start a peace process from the bottom up and without any outside influences.

Again, the chances for success for such a scenario are also pretty doubtful. Influential and often also negative internal and external forces would probably again be extremely difficult to contain in this case.

Taking everything into consideration, maybe a miracle is still the best we can hope for? That at least is certainly worth the prayers of Muslims, Jews and Christians.

THE MIDDLE EAST: Enlightenment or Armageddon?  - by RM
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